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I recently looked at the performance of all the stocks I suggested in my letter when the market was down 20% or more in the first half of 2020. Here’s the bottom line:
The 84 stocks I suggested during the 2020 bear market were up 94.8% by the end of 2020, vs. 49.6% for the S&P 500. That’s 45.2 percentage points better than the market.
More recently, on January 9, 2023 I suggested the Mega Cap 8. This meant GOOGL, AMZN, AAPL, META, MSFT, NFLX, NVDA, TSLA.
As of the close June 2, 2013 they were up 68.2% vs. 12% for the S&P 500 and 24.8% for Nasdaq.
Also, on January 9 I suggested ten chip stocks: NVDA, TSM, AMD, MCHP, ADI, NXPI, ON, QCOM, AVGO and ASML. As of the close June 2 they were up 38.3%. So, they beat both Nasdaq’s 24.8% gain and the 31.4% gain for the chip ETF SOXX.
I was bullish on the stock market on October 12, 2022 the exact low ahead of the current bull market run. And I was bullish throughout 2023 particularly during pullbacks.
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My system continues to work well — since 2010. To find stock ideas, I assess key factors like insider activity using my own unique approach, financial strength, valuation and sector trends. I often go up against the market with contrarian plays that work out very well.
I draw on skills developed at Columbia Business School, Johns Hopkins, the New York Times, the Economist Group, and MarketWatch.
A system that works
* I use a combination of about a dozen sentiment and technical measures plus macro analysis to identify buyable market or sector sell offs.
* Then I suggest groups of individual names (for diversity) that look good by my stock selection system. My system favors qualities like the right kind of insider buying and ownership, reasonable valuations, financial strength, and a plausible growth story.
* I have no hidden agendas or conflicts of interest.
No matter who is president, what’s going on in China, or who wins the World Series, the market, or a sector, is always going to go into panic mode at some point, creating contrarian opportunities. It’s just human nature, sad to say. Groupthink and the herd mentality always come back around and create opportunities.
It’s just a matter of having the right tools to identify them and the best names to buy, and the discipline to act. Trust me, it’s not always easy. The best purchase decisions are always the ones that are the toughest to make. But I can help guide you there. While you take care of your business, I’ll be your eyes on the market.
Of course, the trades cited above are examples of some of the better contrarian ideas I have suggested. They don’t all work out, it goes without saying. No system is perfect. However, my system regularly kicks out favorable buy and hold stocks which on the whole outperform, according to my analysis of every single stock I suggested from a sample period of about three years. Page down on the performance page for details of this analysis.
You can see more about my record here.
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Want to know more?
To find the best stocks for you, I use the skills I’ve learned over the past two decades at Columbia Business School, Johns Hopkins University, the New York Times, and the Economist Group, among other major business publications.
I look for the right kind of insider buying, cheap relative valuation, smart money ownership, financial strength, good growth potential, and opportune sentiment extremes since I am a contrarian investor. My system has worked well over the years. I suggest about 10-20 new stocks per month.
Importantly, I offer unbiased analysis. I have no conflicts of interest. Many brokers, financial advisers and analysts have hidden agendas. I don’t.
Unique investing ideas
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